Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.002414 0.002565 0.002726 0.002912 0.003122 0.003352 0.003626
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.002214 0.002426 0.002665 0.002959 0.003314 0.003739 0.004295
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002038 0.002281 0.002567 0.002934 0.003406 0.004009 0.004873
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001937 0.002208 0.002538 0.002980 0.003580 0.004401 0.005690
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001833 0.002119 0.002476 0.002970 0.003670 0.004687 0.006426
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001733 0.002023 0.002393 0.002920 0.003692 0.004870 0.007044
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001690 0.001997 0.002397 0.002985 0.003886 0.005350 0.008354
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001646 0.001964 0.002389 0.003030 0.004051 0.005814 0.009852
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001577 0.001895 0.002323 0.002981 0.004059 0.005998 0.010816
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001502 0.001812 0.002234 0.002889 0.003981 0.006004 0.011337
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001459 0.001771 0.002201 0.002881 0.004044 0.006298 0.012856
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001373 0.001667 0.002072 0.002714 0.003812 0.005942 0.012161
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001345 0.001644 0.002062 0.002738 0.003932 0.006382 0.014545
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001323 0.001629 0.002063 0.002780 0.004093 0.006964 0.018322
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001286 0.001591 0.002027 0.002759 0.004129 0.007263 0.021440
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001267 0.001578 0.002029 0.002800 0.004296 0.007956 0.028938
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001237 0.001548 0.002003 0.002791 0.004358 0.008387 0.036820
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001202 0.001507 0.001958 0.002746 0.004337 0.008570 0.043697
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001191 0.001504 0.001971 0.002804 0.004551 0.009597 0.079446
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001177 0.001494 0.001973 0.002844 0.004730 0.010621 0.194677
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001147 0.001459 0.001933 0.002801 0.004707 0.010867 0.374593
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001111 0.001414 0.001874 0.002718 0.004579 0.010642 0.452913
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001091 0.001393 0.001854 0.002710 0.004635 0.011234 NaN